Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: McNally (-1.5) vs Korpatsch (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbba33e5c46521421eb2a84bffcccf26cfa03f2cd35e8f4f6ac7e0925c067cd3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Korpatschof McNally, Korpatsch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1393…8392backed Korpatsch | 45c | 286$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.54 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Korpatsch | 47c | 194$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed McNally | 57c | 174.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Korpatsch | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked McNally | 52c | 90.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Korpatsch | 44c | 88.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99e…fa3dbacked McNally | 56c | 88.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Korpatsch | 44c | 77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Korpatsch | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Korpatsch | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Korpatsch | 44c | 63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked McNally | 45c | 59.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Korpatsch | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Korpatsch | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked McNally | 56c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Korpatsch | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Korpatsch | 48c | 41.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked McNally | 55c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked McNally | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 48cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed McNally | 56c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed McNally | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed McNally | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked McNally | 56c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Korpatsch | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed McNally | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Korpatsch | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed McNally | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked McNally | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed McNally | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked McNally | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bc…ef05backed McNally | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed McNally | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked McNally | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed McNally | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed McNally | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Korpatsch | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed McNally | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed McNally | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed McNally | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked McNally | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed McNally | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed McNally | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed McNally | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed McNally | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed McNally | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: McNally (-1.5) vs Korpatsch (+1.5)this page
- McNally vs. Korpatsch: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- McNally vs. Korpatsch: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Ostrava Open: Caty McNally vs Tamara KorpatschKorpatsch won
- Set 1 Winner: McNally vs KorpatschKorpatsch won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.