Lol · resolved market
LoL: Zephyr Esport vs Project Conquerors (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbf18576891b54bf103963e1f4eb3f3180b4ff6f25f33b3318d0a91f665fb47c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Project Conquerorsof Zephyr Esport, Project Conquerors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zephyr Esport | 29c | 1,794$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.13 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Project Conquerors | 78c | 1,411$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.47 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Project Conquerors | 56c | 1,173$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.16 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Zephyr Esport | 43c | 834.51$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.23 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Zephyr Esport | 45c | 788.98$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.93 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed Project Conquerors | 57c | 540.35$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.35 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Zephyr Esport | 11c | 537.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zephyr Esport | 24c | 356$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed Project Conquerors | 77c | 304$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Zephyr Esport | 45c | 192.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…e4c2backed Project Conquerors | 54c | 186.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Project Conquerors | 57c | 175.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Zephyr Esport | 43c | 164.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Zephyr Esport | 37c | 160.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Project Conquerors | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Project Conquerors | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Project Conquerors | 57c | 77.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zephyr Esport | 23c | 76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…c2bbbacked Project Conquerors | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Project Conquerors | 72c | 64.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed Zephyr Esport | 16c | 64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Project Conquerors | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…68e2backed Project Conquerors | 59c | 53.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Project Conquerors | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Zephyr Esport | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Zephyr Esport | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked Project Conquerors | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…6bc8backed Project Conquerors | 56c | 29.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c2…07c4backed Project Conquerors | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Project Conquerors | 67c | 15.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.