Tennis · resolved market
ITF Amstetten: Isabella Maria Serban vs Kali Supova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc4318755d6cb4b3b98939c2727dd71b7f4c2269963955c919270180f435f61a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kali Supovaof Isabella Maria Serban, Kali Supova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kali Supova | 52c | 1,562$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.15 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Isabella Maria Serban | 52c | 1,027$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.03 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Isabella Maria Serban | 30c | 199.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Isabella Maria Serban | 33c | 172.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Isabella Maria Serban | 24c | 111.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Kali Supova | 77c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 568 | 53.9%306 W · 262 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kali Supova | 35c | 106.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Isabella Maria Serban | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Isabella Maria Serban | 65c | 95.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…4c3abacked Kali Supova | 79c | 64.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 148 | 75.7%112 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Isabella Maria Serban | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Isabella Maria Serban | 59c | 59.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Isabella Maria Serban | 80c | 37.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Isabella Maria Serban | 36c | 33.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Kali Supova | 63c | 28.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Isabella Maria Serban | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…a221backed Isabella Maria Serban | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Isabella Maria Serban | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.