South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc8a4176bdc5997ace2e68b9eac8a00ab5fbfb91ec3a28ab769b08076514e51a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 3,930$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.75 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 2,142$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.3 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 474.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 28c | 350.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 326$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 21c | 309.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 30c | 241.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 67c | 235.89$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 24c | 234.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 31c | 231.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…d098backed Yes | 32c | 223.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 168$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 161.88$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 158.47$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 115.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 114.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 27c | 107.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 75c | 89.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 29c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked No | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…4e4abacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 69c | 75.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 73.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 24c | 71.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 60.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 20c | 52.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 47.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715c…d081backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 74c | 35.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked No | 75c | 29.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…00e7backed No | 71c | 25.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 71c | 18.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -53%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-04-03?Yes won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-04-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.