Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Bencic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbca1c724f6ac43dfc43ddf80a37e71a412b76c33bde676482ac0cade4f83dbd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bencicof Svitolina, Bencic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76b9…12e4backed Bencic | 60c | 3,469$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Svitolina | 40c | 3,469$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Bencic | 69c | 1,162$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.77 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed Svitolina | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Svitolina | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Svitolina | 31c | 820.77$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.74 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Svitolina | 32c | 260$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Svitolina | 33c | 91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Svitolina | 37c | 60.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bencic | 63c | 57.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Bencic | 63c | 39.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…bf1fbacked Svitolina | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Bencic (+1.5)this page
- Bencic vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Bencic vs. Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Belinda Bencic vs Elina SvitolinaSvitolina won
- Set 1 Winner: Bencic vs SvitolinaBencic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.