College Football · resolved market
Spread: Boston College (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcb0fe4c7824d7b9be54f891a25f361f90f4a405ee56fefa93f1645beebba81f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Collegeof Boston College, Syracuse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Syracuse | 56c | 15,264$8,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,547.41 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boston College | 44c | 5,430$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.94 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Boston College | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Boston College | 44c | 1,925$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Boston College | 44c | 1,258$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.48 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Boston College | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Boston College | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Syracuse | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Boston College | 44c | 784.4$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.97 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boston College | 43c | 377.19$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Boston College | 44c | 359.09$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.09 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Syracuse | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Boston College | 44c | 299.86$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.92 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Boston College | 44c | 251.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Syracuse | 56c | 228.3$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Boston College | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Boston College | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Syracuse | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Syracuse | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Boston College | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Boston College | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Boston College | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…1b1abacked Boston College | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston College (-3.5)this page
- Boston College vs. SyracuseBoston College won
- Boston College vs. Syracuse: O/U 53.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.