Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Valparaiso vs. UIC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcb8b3d2655acf46c4cff97578d4be0a196917759f6b603efb7d73e8b2521861
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UICof Valparaiso, UIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75db…2098backed UIC | 77c | 1,229$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…e4cfbacked Valparaiso | 23c | 461$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Valparaiso | 23c | 375$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Valparaiso | 10c | 116.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…a508backed Valparaiso | 27c | 101$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…e9a0backed Valparaiso | 23c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…4333backed Valparaiso | 23c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…d758backed Valparaiso | 28c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3300…ca98backed UIC | 73c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2013…7d72backed Valparaiso | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f32…83f0backed UIC | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed UIC | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419a…0fbebacked UIC | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…1700backed UIC | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…e4b0backed UIC | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed UIC | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…2f00backed UIC | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c89…9d25backed UIC | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0946…e2a8backed UIC | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7c…c309backed UIC | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc673…d4b9backed UIC | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.