Lol · resolved market
LoL: The ParadOx Invaders vs Team Phantasma - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcdaa513c46ffca81ebd872cfa35d43b180527acb5913fd71014978c6def372f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Phantasmaof The ParadOx Invaders, Team Phantasma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa245…2152backed The ParadOx Invaders | 17c | 10,783$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.21 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked The ParadOx Invaders | 14c | 2,990$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.17 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked The ParadOx Invaders | 20c | 1,167$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.5 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed The ParadOx Invaders | 17c | 1,130$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.03 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed The ParadOx Invaders | 20c | 602.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked The ParadOx Invaders | 15c | 400$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked The ParadOx Invaders | 16c | 289.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed The ParadOx Invaders | 17c | 273.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked The ParadOx Invaders | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed The ParadOx Invaders | 15c | 182$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed The ParadOx Invaders | 13c | 175$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed The ParadOx Invaders | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…fddabacked The ParadOx Invaders | 16c | 96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed The ParadOx Invaders | 24c | 71.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed The ParadOx Invaders | 19c | 58.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked The ParadOx Invaders | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked The ParadOx Invaders | 35c | 28.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Phantasma | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: The ParadOx Invaders vs Team Phantasma - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: The ParadOx Invaders vs Team Phantasma - Game 2 WinnerTeam Phantasma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.