CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd0274f6a3b5015d86432e6f1b95f3abe904235a612dc4a99789d33cfd8afed7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RUSTECof Atreides, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked RUSTEC | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.98 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 45c | 2,768$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.49 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked RUSTEC | 56c | 1,720$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.76 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atreides | 43c | 1,068$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.52 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Atreides | 45c | 694.6$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.57 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed RUSTEC | 55c | 587.48$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.36 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Atreides | 45c | 564.45$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.98 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Atreides | 45c | 464.1$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.82 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed RUSTEC | 56c | 401.78$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.78 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed RUSTEC | 55c | 295.69$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.06 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed RUSTEC | 58c | 267.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Atreides | 44c | 234.84$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Atreides | 45c | 180.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Atreides | 45c | 159.57$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Atreides | 44c | 151.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed RUSTEC | 55c | 141.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Atreides | 38c | 123$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked RUSTEC | 62c | 120.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Atreides | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Atreides | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atreides | 43c | 74.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Atreides | 45c | 70.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed RUSTEC | 33c | 57.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Atreides | 40c | 43.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked RUSTEC | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked RUSTEC | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked RUSTEC | 60c | 29.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…6194backed Atreides | 45c | 26.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 46c | 23.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 PlayoffsRUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.