Premier League · resolved market
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd0c27e899981e3885a58980acc683ac823605b7929a7aa062f870fff98db839
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 63c | 5,999$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 4,239$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.95 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 28c | 3,375$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.91 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 14c | 1,600$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.77 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 46c | 1,361$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.65 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,055$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.5 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 28c | 311.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 305.54$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 59c | 198.88$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 19c | 183.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 7c | 164.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Under | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 27c | 113.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 29c | 101$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 12c | 96.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…2580backed Over | 24c | 72.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 63c | 63.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 49c | 34.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d53…2735backed Over | 63c | 17.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-2.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)West Bromwich Albion FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)West Bromwich Albion FC won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.