La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd3f88ca495d2321aece409847961118c77be5be87443ee9381fe11f63ef81c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 2,808$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.41 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 2,044$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.14 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…30abbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 22c | 143.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 131.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 29c | 103$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 38c | 74.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 76c | 50.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 40c | 29.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed No | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.