NHL · resolved market
SHL: Skellefteaa vs. HV 71
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdb5a9df7057ff78ac717f9ba08a660506ce86ec94b617ffca6b08f5ca9f6d21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skellefteaaof Skellefteaa, HV 71
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b36…cd58backed HV 71 | 23c | 1,452$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Skellefteaa | 78c | 876.83$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.9 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7a…b288backed Skellefteaa | 77c | 786$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c61…ae77backed HV 71 | 23c | 697$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…83cbbacked HV 71 | 23c | 680$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d7…e896backed Skellefteaa | 77c | 666$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d2…2e42backed HV 71 | 23c | 650$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…82f6backed HV 71 | 23c | 640$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…7170backed HV 71 | 23c | 630$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked HV 71 | 22c | 625$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…8420backed HV 71 | 23c | 610$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…79efbacked Skellefteaa | 77c | 355$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…110cbacked HV 71 | 23c | 343$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…177bbacked Skellefteaa | 77c | 342$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…a026backed Skellefteaa | 77c | 340$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…982fbacked Skellefteaa | 77c | 340$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…df9abacked Skellefteaa | 77c | 330$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3d…afd9backed Skellefteaa | 77c | 320$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…3592backed Skellefteaa | 77c | 320$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4549…7cefbacked Skellefteaa | 77c | 320$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…f3efbacked Skellefteaa | 77c | 320$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…162abacked Skellefteaa | 77c | 310$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…66aebacked Skellefteaa | 77c | 310$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked HV 71 | 22c | 301.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…fe00backed Skellefteaa | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a99…cedcbacked Skellefteaa | 77c | 175$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…8ff9backed Skellefteaa | 77c | 168$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…2b11backed HV 71 | 23c | 140.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed HV 71 | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Skellefteaa | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Skellefteaa | 76c | 48.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Skellefteaa | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Skellefteaa | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.