CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdc50aa5a4e8e6fbd2dffd319e080283fdba81394a20527f801b604cf4b33ca8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WBTof Misa Esports, WBT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked WBT | 53c | 1,964$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.96 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Misa Esports | 53c | 997.19$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.31 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 782.44$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.04 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed WBT | 43c | 532$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.94 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Misa Esports | 53c | 263.07$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…1a75backed Misa Esports | 70c | 239.27$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Misa Esports | 54c | 208.35$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.51 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports | 47c | 184.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 59c | 176.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed Misa Esports | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed WBT | 38c | 146$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed WBT | 40c | 114.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked WBT | 58c | 114.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed WBT | 53c | 110.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Misa Esports | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Misa Esports | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Misa Esports | 54c | 90.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed WBT | 33c | 89.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Misa Esports | 54c | 77.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed WBT | 28c | 71.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed WBT | 36c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Misa Esports | 60c | 60.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Misa Esports | 63c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Misa Esports | 60c | 39.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Misa Esports | 54c | 38.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…b55fbacked Misa Esports | 53c | 35.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Misa Esports | 44c | 34.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Misa Esports | 36c | 30.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Misa Esports | 70c | 23.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group DWBT won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT - Map 1 WinnerWBT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.