Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdccec76b0b17fac5faf3cb86b762504e24abaecc2b39bf09bcc1a9ba0eadf96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersof Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,297 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 51c | 14,986$7,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,642.7 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 49c | 10,008$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,104.04 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 49c | 2,377$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 49c | 1,972$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.92 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 51c | 733.52$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.1 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 49c | 501$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 49c | 253.76$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 48c | 168.52$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 49c | 110.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 49c | 86.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 49c | 71.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 49c | 62.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 55c | 56.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 45c | 55.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 49c | 51.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 51c | 38.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 49c | 34.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 49c | 25.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 49c | 23.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 51c | 23.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 49c | 20.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 51c | 20.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-6.5)this page
- Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs. Stephen F. Austin LumberjacksStephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
- Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 134.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.