South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Blooming vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbddd007bbacc17935f79560ee2097d2609f289d95bf84b4566298627e57cd3d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4753…41adbacked Under | 1c | 9,202$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 4,257$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 56c | 3,572$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.6 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 15c | 1,159$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Over | 57c | 636.21$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.21 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 55c | 199.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 52c | 168.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 49c | 145$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Under | 12c | 142.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 45c | 111.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 51c | 64.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 49c | 61.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 49c | 53.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 51c | 28.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 49c | 24.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Blooming vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Blooming vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Blooming vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Blooming vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.