Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Evansville Aces vs. UIC Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbde268f94f86b27a1a39e30bb6abca006e8a50d3b2b20ddf062242db34a1186e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UIC Flamesof Evansville Aces, UIC Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Evansville Aces | 5c | 5,061$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.13 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UIC Flames | 79c | 3,359$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.38 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Evansville Aces | 21c | 1,524$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.96 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UIC Flames | 80c | 1,300$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Evansville Aces | 20c | 1,229$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Evansville Aces | 28c | 1,134$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.1 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Evansville Aces | 18c | 985$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Evansville Aces | 10c | 847.32$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed UIC Flames | 77c | 749.97$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Evansville Aces | 21c | 634.29$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Evansville Aces | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Evansville Aces | 6c | 530.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UIC Flames | 79c | 435.56$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Evansville Aces | 17c | 199.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Evansville Aces | 20c | 159.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UIC Flames | 78c | 106.41$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Evansville Aces | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Evansville Aces | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Evansville Aces | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Evansville Aces | 30c | 47.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed UIC Flames | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed UIC Flames | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked UIC Flames | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Evansville Aces vs. UIC Flamesthis page
- Evansville Aces vs. UIC Flames: O/U 135.5Under won
- Evansville Aces vs. UIC Flames: O/U 136.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.