Tennis · resolved market
Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Gonzalo Bueno
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe15b48eb352f676dea3fd8be927cc3fd554d7c6fb062c2911cb9857c9805fa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valentin Royerof Valentin Royer, Gonzalo Bueno
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Gonzalo Bueno | 16c | 2,274$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.06 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…7242backed Gonzalo Bueno | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Gonzalo Bueno | 18c | 927.02$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gonzalo Bueno | 10c | 555.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Gonzalo Bueno | 18c | 330.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 16c | 297.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Gonzalo Bueno | 19c | 260.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 9c | 238.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…be44backed Gonzalo Bueno | 16c | 224.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Gonzalo Bueno | 8c | 180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…ba99backed Gonzalo Bueno | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 19c | 84.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Valentin Royer | 80c | 66.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Valentin Royer | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Valentin Royer | 80c | 25.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Valentin Royer | 80c | 24.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Valentin Royer | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Valentin Royer | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Valentin Royer | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.