Tennis · resolved market
Cordenons: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Michele Ribecai
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe40433052f5fb55fb293ccc85b321e682ff81f36a3a141cff8859b5cab6292a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzalo Villanuevaof Gonzalo Villanueva, Michele Ribecai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Michele Ribecai | 10c | 2,795$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.09 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…9357backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 76c | 1,750$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.14 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Michele Ribecai | 1c | 1,331$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 45c | 1,007$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.9 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Michele Ribecai | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michele Ribecai | 8c | 928.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…a5fcbacked Michele Ribecai | 22c | 753$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.66 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Michele Ribecai | 25c | 636.14$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.04 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Michele Ribecai | 13c | 265.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Michele Ribecai | 11c | 187.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 41c | 185$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Michele Ribecai | 24c | 183.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…0454backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 76c | 171.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Michele Ribecai | 22c | 130.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 42c | 122.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Michele Ribecai | 43c | 120.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Michele Ribecai | 58c | 118.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 67c | 114.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Michele Ribecai | 59c | 103.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 41c | 95.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 75c | 85.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Michele Ribecai | 59c | 75.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 40c | 60.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Michele Ribecai | 18c | 58.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…61dabacked Michele Ribecai | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Michele Ribecai | 38c | 44.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Michele Ribecai | 35c | 43.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 69c | 32.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Michele Ribecai | 60c | 31.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Michele Ribecai | 60c | 25.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…34a6backed Michele Ribecai | 60c | 17.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -30.3wins | -0.30per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 23-0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x918c…ed59backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.