CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Banzai - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe649bb48c4900f4398c38a89f298aac88713b6fdc7b552b5c2cd2f805922413
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalem Aeremof Vitalem Aerem, Banzai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa434…d438backed Vitalem Aerem | 56c | 772.61$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.95 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Banzai | 44c | 605.05$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.87 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Banzai | 44c | 243$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…ad2abacked Banzai | 24c | 188.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…ce7dbacked Vitalem Aerem | 76c | 158.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Vitalem Aerem | 67c | 129.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Vitalem Aerem | 62c | 84.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 334 | 62.9%210 W · 124 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Banzai | 28c | 66.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Banzai | 34c | 66.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | +20.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Vitalem Aerem | 72c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Banzai | 33c | 43.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…16e7backed Banzai | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Banzai | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Banzai | 37c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Vitalem Aerem | 65c | 30.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Vitalem Aerem | 76c | 18.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 129 | 77.5%100 W · 29 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Vitalem Aerem | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 89 | 73%65 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…c83abacked Vitalem Aerem | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Banzai - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Banzai (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 PlayoffsVitalem Aerem won
- Counter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Banzai - Map 2 WinnerVitalem Aerem won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.