CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Banzai (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5f61a6e18b8410f6137aeab4dc25c9fc84c570294c47186903177060a802729
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalem Aeremof Vitalem Aerem, Banzai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca8e…ce7dbacked Vitalem Aerem | 75c | 4,634$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.78 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Banzai | 29c | 3,499$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.05 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…968dbacked Banzai | 23c | 3,108$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…d438backed Vitalem Aerem | 66c | 2,369$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.58 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb31c…14b5backed Vitalem Aerem | 75c | 1,574$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…547dbacked Vitalem Aerem | 77c | 970$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Banzai | 24c | 484.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.97 | 1,613 | 29.6%478 W · 1,135 L | -90.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…f2d0backed Vitalem Aerem | 59c | 451.13$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.07 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Vitalem Aerem | 74c | 420.75$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 466 | 65.5%305 W · 161 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…9168backed Banzai | 32c | 414$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Banzai | 28c | 406.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Banzai | 30c | 327.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 4,132 | 50.9%2,104 W · 2,028 L | +72.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…ad2abacked Banzai | 28c | 275.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…16e7backed Banzai | 25c | 256$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…42a6backed Banzai | 32c | 241.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Banzai | 22c | 212.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 786 | 34%267 W · 519 L | -49.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…1f16backed Vitalem Aerem | 67c | 210$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Banzai | 42c | 202$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 2,691 | 30.7%826 W · 1,865 L | -110.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…1b30backed Vitalem Aerem | 70c | 198.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +139.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Banzai | 31c | 180$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 177 | 42.4%75 W · 102 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Vitalem Aerem | 67c | 169.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 345 | 62.9%217 W · 128 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdce…1588backed Banzai | 29c | 166.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +581.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Banzai | 29c | 159.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Banzai | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 175 | 42.9%75 W · 100 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Banzai | 25c | 145$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Banzai | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,450 | 52.9%767 W · 683 L | +34.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed Banzai | 36c | 122.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed Banzai | 17c | 122.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Vitalem Aerem | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 480 | 56.3%270 W · 210 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Banzai | 27c | 118$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Banzai | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 611 | 42.7%261 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…9bd0backed Banzai | 28c | 109$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Vitalem Aerem | 71c | 104.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…eb3bbacked Banzai | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Banzai | 19c | 80.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Banzai | 25c | 73.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Vitalem Aerem | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Vitalem Aerem | 77c | 69.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Banzai | 22c | 69.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 829 | 42.5%352 W · 477 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Banzai | 43c | 69.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Banzai | 24c | 69.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Banzai | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 544 | 48.2%262 W · 282 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Vitalem Aerem | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 1,212 | 54.4%659 W · 553 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Banzai | 30c | 43.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Banzai | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 543 | 55.2%300 W · 243 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…6115backed Vitalem Aerem | 67c | 36.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Banzai | 34c | 31.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 734 | 51.1%375 W · 359 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Banzai | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…ae79backed Vitalem Aerem | 74c | 22.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Vitalem Aerem | 75c | 18.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96fe…e78cbacked Vitalem Aerem | 72c | 17.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Vitalem Aerem | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 143 | 77.6%111 W · 32 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Vitalem Aerem | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…c83abacked Vitalem Aerem | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 33 | 87.9%29 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Banzai (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Banzai - Map 1 WinnerVitalem Aerem won
- Counter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Banzai - Map 2 WinnerVitalem Aerem won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.