Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe8356e1be1b96a95577879f40fb8c364fa463950e657a56cbb80b5575bf3e9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Frankfurtof Team Heretics, Eintracht Frankfurt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 61c | 5,000$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Team Heretics | 1c | 1,715$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Heretics | 40c | 1,300$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked Team Heretics | 38c | 1,052$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Heretics | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Heretics | 37c | 561.53$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.13 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Team Heretics | 38c | 506.58$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Heretics | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 60c | 406.87$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.11 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Team Heretics | 40c | 253$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Team Heretics | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Team Heretics | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Team Heretics | 41c | 74.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 70c | 68.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Team Heretics | 41c | 61.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Team Heretics | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Team Heretics | 39c | 49.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Team Heretics | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-InsEintracht Frankfurt won
- Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics - Map 1 WinnerEintracht Frankfurt won
- Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics - Map 2 WinnerEintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.