Lol · resolved market
LoL: Meavedron vs Bohemian Guardians (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeb017f71e486bf8c7384ca2b54de9ba8eb89e5d85cc0052b44f06bfd6f991df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Meavedronof Meavedron, Bohemian Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Bohemian Guardians | 35c | 1,450$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.49 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bohemian Guardians | 26c | 1,276$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.8 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…0a9cbacked Meavedron | 75c | 928.64$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.64 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 55cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Bohemian Guardians | 23c | 777$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.37 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Meavedron | 70c | 723.07$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.34 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…29d0backed Meavedron | 78c | 541.87$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.87 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…a9ffbacked Bohemian Guardians | 24c | 499.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Meavedron | 65c | 389.46$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.31 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Meavedron | 66c | 302.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Bohemian Guardians | 12c | 299.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Meavedron | 80c | 255$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bohemian Guardians | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Meavedron | 65c | 196.78$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Bohemian Guardians | 11c | 190.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bohemian Guardians | 19c | 164.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Meavedron | 65c | 131.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Meavedron | 75c | 119.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…5ea3backed Bohemian Guardians | 25c | 118.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3430…da37backed Bohemian Guardians | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda30…1d71backed Meavedron | 65c | 103.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Bohemian Guardians | 28c | 100.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Meavedron | 70c | 85.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0b…ef0cbacked Bohemian Guardians | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 189 | 42.3%80 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bohemian Guardians | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…bc2abacked Meavedron | 74c | 67.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 281 | 65.5%184 W · 97 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Bohemian Guardians | 26c | 64.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Meavedron | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Meavedron vs Bohemian Guardians (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: MVE (-1.5) vs Bohemian Guardians (+1.5)Meavedron won
- LoL: Meavedron vs Bohemian Guardians - Game 1 WinnerMeavedron won
- LoL: Meavedron vs Bohemian Guardians - Game 2 WinnerMeavedron won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.