Premier League · resolved market
Will Lee Carsley be England's next manager?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbed422aa02c39edca82e2fc08c3fe611e326720978f685d1799c1d6ccc38338f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 23c | 876.6$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.38 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 75c | 127.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 74c | 125.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 30c | 120.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…f2a8backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bb…2c3fbacked No | 26c | 46.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +286.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…8842backed Yes | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lee Carsley be England's next manager?this page
- Will Eddie Howe be England's next manager?No won
- Will Frank Lampard be England's next manager?No won
- Will Graham Potter be England's next manager?No won
- Will Jurgen Klopp be England's next manager?No won
- Will Mauricio Pochettino be England's next manager?No won
- Will Thomas Tuchel be England's next manager?Yes won
- Will another person be England's next manager?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.