Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Nacional vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeeb6323848bfed2f7ab39531654fdf94de655bd4b5135cc1e8534f5625180f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 2,608$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.92 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 48c | 1,239$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.28 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 63c | 1,049$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.16 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 852.52$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.85 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 705.4$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.15 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 646.45$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.12 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 68c | 583.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.94 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 43c | 434.82$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 404.76$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 335.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.67 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 53c | 246.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 48c | 206.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 200.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 62c | 191.46$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 110.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 46c | 106.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc078…f854backed Over | 56c | 77.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 41c | 68.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 48c | 62.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 63c | 58.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Under | 39c | 51.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 58c | 45.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 66c | 45.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Under | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 47c | 34.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…32aebacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 67cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 57c | 22.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +10.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Nacional vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Nacional vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Nacional vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Nacional vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Nacional (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: CD Nacional (-2.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)CD Nacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.