CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf817daa6c81500b999026e36e6fdd14d1de361011f4232c87f0e502bc3bb042
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grêmio Esportsof RED Canids Academy, Grêmio Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Grêmio Esports | 58c | 135.16$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Grêmio Esports | 39c | 116.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked RED Canids Academy | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 245 | 62%152 W · 93 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…3128backed Grêmio Esports | 53c | 94.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed RED Canids Academy | 30c | 90.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Grêmio Esports | 46c | 71.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed RED Canids Academy | 73c | 66.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Grêmio Esports | 70c | 61.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…c735backed Grêmio Esports | 46c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed RED Canids Academy | 61c | 45.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed RED Canids Academy | 69c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed RED Canids Academy | 60c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Grêmio Esports | 37c | 35.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Grêmio Esports | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +134.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Grêmio Esports | 47c | 27.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed RED Canids Academy | 46c | 27.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed RED Canids Academy | 49c | 24.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa158…acacbacked RED Canids Academy | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Grêmio Esports | 49c | 22.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked RED Canids Academy | 68c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked RED Canids Academy | 70c | 14.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.