Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Akron Zips vs. Central Michigan Chippewas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf88c6b47592f798f80858988fc16e3e663cf373b50eda84a078e761e6dedfb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akron Zipsof Akron Zips, Central Michigan Chippewas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 5c | 1,146$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Akron Zips | 79c | 467.27$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 22c | 387.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 25c | 353.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 14c | 352.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa59b…d11ebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 16c | 319.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 14c | 298.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 18c | 262.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 11c | 260.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 12c | 198$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 14c | 196.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f8b4backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 14c | 177.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Akron Zips | 80c | 153.43$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Akron Zips | 76c | 145.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 14c | 142.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 16c | 126.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Akron Zips | 79c | 111.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 14c | 103.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 12c | 93.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Akron Zips | 78c | 71.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 25c | 43.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Akron Zips vs. Central Michigan Chippewasthis page
- Akron Zips vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 160.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.