Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Matthew Dellavedova vs Joshua Charlton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf93f960a91d0e196b6e02263f7979045e8cd1ac91eeffe766bd448897958d7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthew Dellavedovaof Matthew Dellavedova, Joshua Charlton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 76c | 781.5$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.32 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Matthew Dellavedova | 76c | 444$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Joshua Charlton | 18c | 412$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Joshua Charlton | 23c | 408.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Joshua Charlton | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Matthew Dellavedova | 78c | 176.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Joshua Charlton | 20c | 111.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Joshua Charlton | 26c | 91.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Joshua Charlton | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Joshua Charlton | 24c | 49.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matthew Dellavedova | 75c | 36.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Matthew Dellavedova | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Matthew Dellavedova | 80c | 31.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…88d2backed Matthew Dellavedova | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…bf1bbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 76c | 23.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Matthew Dellavedova | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Matthew Dellavedova | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.