Fifa International · resolved market
Ukraine vs. Albania: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfa0b56a900d2b292ec8a9d678b7bb970bf6e37d3248aca4caabaf5dd38df6ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 12c | 1,127$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 1,075$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.81 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 872.87$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.05 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 63c | 700.44$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.72 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed Over | 37c | 682.83$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over | 33c | 646.35$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 45c | 537.22$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.75 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 53c | 361$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed Over | 47c | 349.52$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 15c | 232.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 232$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Over | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 161.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 25c | 110.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 43c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 46c | 37.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 74c | 19.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 79c | 12.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ukraine vs. Albania: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Albania (-2.5)Ukraine won
- Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)Albania won
- Ukraine vs. Albania: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ukraine vs. Albania: O/U 1.5Under won
- Ukraine vs. Albania: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ukraine vs. Albania: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.