CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc02873e1ee9c0c7daeab2b54d223341fc526d86c7235309582238b8d42506b18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lazer Catsof Lazer Cats, los kogutos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,189 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed los kogutos | 1c | 4,083$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed los kogutos | 6c | 485.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked los kogutos | 58c | 406.83$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.22 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked los kogutos | 13c | 397.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed los kogutos | 14c | 353.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Lazer Cats | 44c | 321.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.21 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed los kogutos | 62c | 297.13$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.02 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed los kogutos | 16c | 291.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lazer Cats | 42c | 282.3$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.08 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d7…e5dcbacked los kogutos | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Lazer Cats | 38c | 249.65$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed los kogutos | 24c | 242.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked los kogutos | 8c | 216$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lazer Cats | 58c | 206.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed los kogutos | 31c | 156.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked los kogutos | 23c | 154.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked los kogutos | 60c | 150.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed los kogutos | 9c | 141.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed los kogutos | 57c | 139.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed los kogutos | 22c | 96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lazer Cats | 41c | 89.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lazer Cats | 70c | 77.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Lazer Cats | 41c | 60.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked los kogutos | 21c | 59.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lazer Cats | 65c | 55.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked los kogutos | 57c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed los kogutos | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…2ec9backed Lazer Cats | 73c | 27.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed los kogutos | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df5…416dbacked los kogutos | 59c | 25.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Lazer Cats | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f4…07b6backed Lazer Cats | 77c | 23.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed los kogutos | 56c | 22.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.