College Football · resolved market
Duke vs. Wake Forest
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc02dbc41751ae289d352bd1398ddf317a4e6ddd6167cb8899d979846e610d30d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dukeof Duke, Wake Forest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Wake Forest | 47c | 1,103$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.59 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wake Forest | 2c | 777$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Wake Forest | 38c | 747.44$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.81 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Duke | 52c | 700$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Duke | 62c | 698.39$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.39 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…e52fbacked Duke | 65c | 635.14$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.3 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Duke | 50c | 532.2$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…9869backed Duke | 62c | 323.75$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Wake Forest | 36c | 319.67$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.24 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Wake Forest | 37c | 203.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Wake Forest | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Duke | 65c | 192.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wake Forest | 36c | 152.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Duke | 65c | 131.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…1a6dbacked Duke | 63c | 122.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Wake Forest | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Wake Forest | 80c | 98.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +101%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Wake Forest | 40c | 75.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Duke | 27c | 73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Duke | 63c | 63.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd6…91b5backed Duke | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Duke | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Duke | 42c | 48.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Wake Forest | 38c | 32.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Duke | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Duke | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1f…ab5bbacked Wake Forest | 67c | 26.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c3…5350backed Duke | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Duke | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Wake Forest | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.