Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: BYU Cougars (-19.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0419b7409660ac17f2b3c6bfb9209271e82b0098e25dcf693623d1558a3aa87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah Utesof BYU Cougars, Utah Utes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Utah Utes | 49c | 8,081$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.91 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 7,437$3,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.58 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked BYU Cougars | 53c | 5,497$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.31 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah Utes | 48c | 4,581$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.07 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked BYU Cougars | 53c | 4,436$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.76 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Utah Utes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah Utes | 49c | 445.63$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.17 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah Utes | 48c | 316$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.32 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah Utes | 54c | 263$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.98 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked BYU Cougars | 46c | 131.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Utah Utes | 48c | 76.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Utah Utes | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Utah Utes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Utah Utes | 50c | 49.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Utah Utes | 48c | 45.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah Utes | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Utah Utes | 47c | 40.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Utah Utes | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Utah Utes | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-19.5)this page
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-17.5)Utah Utes won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-18.5)Utah Utes won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-20.5)Utah Utes won
- Utah Utes vs. BYU CougarsBYU Cougars won
- Utah Utes vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 165.5Over won
- Utah Utes vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 166.5Over won
- Utah Utes vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 167.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.