Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah Utes vs. BYU Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x277ec5b2f6ce6eb0dcac80107b127f2cd36352231bef75518245dcf3a934c83d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYU Cougarsof Utah Utes, BYU Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Utah Utes | 3c | 1,508$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Utah Utes | 5c | 1,500$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe323…f90abacked Utah Utes | 2c | 1,468$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Utah Utes | 6c | 999.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Utah Utes | 5c | 906.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…8c56backed Utah Utes | 5c | 765.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…ba61backed Utah Utes | 2c | 741.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Utah Utes | 4c | 575$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Utah Utes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Utah Utes | 5c | 350.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Utah Utes | 5c | 232.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 123 | 8.1%10 W · 113 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6570…32ccbacked Utah Utes | 10c | 203.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…f17dbacked Utah Utes | 8c | 199.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Utah Utes | 11c | 184.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…4d9fbacked Utah Utes | 10c | 172.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah Utes vs. BYU Cougarsthis page
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-17.5)Utah Utes won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-18.5)Utah Utes won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-19.5)Utah Utes won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-20.5)Utah Utes won
- Utah Utes vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 165.5Over won
- Utah Utes vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 166.5Over won
- Utah Utes vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 167.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.