Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest beat Wolverhampton?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0464ed406fcef4f64e9f440ea500a1c43bee063db2e01097b9566f1ff419c13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 59c | 501.4$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.22 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 52c | 314.73$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 52c | 286.27$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.41 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…5760backed Yes | 37c | 273$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked Yes | 37c | 228.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab2…6435backed Yes | 39c | 196.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7d…5f23backed Yes | 48c | 143.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 51c | 137.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba7…c0edbacked No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe794…d9ebbacked Yes | 48c | 85.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7366…b134backed Yes | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +255.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 48c | 21.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest beat Wolverhampton?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Wolverhampton end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Wolverhampton beat Nottingham Forest?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.