Fifa International · resolved market
Will Albania win on 2025-10-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc06142f9e13a6aeb85422e6fa8d95dae0017695f885dadd70518fe3d85cf9770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 4,086$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.58 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 48c | 2,056$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.72 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,414$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.14 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 42c | 1,060$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.15 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 55c | 904.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.85 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 58c | 487.82$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.01 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 453.03$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.64 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 54c | 371.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 56c | 357.22$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.06 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 320$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 44c | 245.07$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 40c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 60c | 199.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 56c | 191.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 60c | 152.28$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…44c4backed Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…0be1backed Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…f4d3backed Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…e84dbacked No | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b6…ba01backed Yes | 41c | 109.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf63…65dfbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…cb74backed Yes | 40c | 98.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Yes | 39c | 94.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 58c | 86.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 40c | 62.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…f103backed Yes | 58c | 58.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…e468backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 37c | 49.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…b55ebacked Yes | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked No | 43c | 29.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 40c | 27.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b7…32a7backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…4eb7backed No | 62c | 16.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albania win on 2025-10-14?this page
- Will Albania vs. Jordan end in a draw?No won
- Will Jordan win on 2025-10-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.