Asian League · resolved market
Will Meizhou Hakka FC win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc072ff3110baabc2165c1603d1e68bedf3c9195c391d017dcad282232d384e55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 54c | 2,040$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 46c | 595.5$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.93 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 41c | 356.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…069ebacked Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 317.04$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…b3c3backed Yes | 46c | 285.41$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 44c | 269.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 46c | 228.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 56c | 212.7$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 45c | 149.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 22c | 127.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…3ef9backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 18cpaid | +387.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c953backed Yes | 44c | 107.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 100.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 66c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…b607backed No | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Meizhou Hakka FC win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2025-11-01?No won
- Will Meizhou Hakka FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.