Asian League · resolved market
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeb6159ea3b97b20166ccad0b8c82e9aa2f969a7e04599cb1979202610b65443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdca…3ef9backed Yes | 30c | 5,351$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 69c | 4,567$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.64 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e2…e6c0backed Yes | 32c | 3,907$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 3,504$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.25 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 53c | 2,173$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.75 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes | 32c | 1,700$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 1,678$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.33 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…a3f3backed Yes | 71c | 905$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 879.19$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.27 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 577.7$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.93 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 72c | 333.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 30c | 331.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 30c | 220$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353f…bdd4backed Yes | 80c | 190$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…591abacked Yes | 58c | 130.07$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 17c | 123.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 47c | 120.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Yes | 34c | 115.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3a…6835backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e6…7e3dbacked Yes | 34c | 52.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Yes | 31c | 36.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…f682backed Yes | 57c | 34.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…efc6backed Yes | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Meizhou Hakka FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Meizhou Hakka FC win on 2025-11-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.