CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0cf77c9f4759fb5fece53b4913a6a56b15fc37c97fff5a01a13414f13febde5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WHITEBIRDof los kogutos, WHITEBIRD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked WHITEBIRD | 62c | 3,112$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.93 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed los kogutos | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked los kogutos | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked los kogutos | 44c | 800.3$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked los kogutos | 18c | 573$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed los kogutos | 46c | 516.1$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.57 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed WHITEBIRD | 50c | 490$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WHITEBIRD | 72c | 204.73$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed WHITEBIRD | 57c | 203.91$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked los kogutos | 22c | 198$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked WHITEBIRD | 72c | 154.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed los kogutos | 22c | 133$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed WHITEBIRD | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked WHITEBIRD | 56c | 100.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…6f9cbacked los kogutos | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked WHITEBIRD | 56c | 89.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed WHITEBIRD | 54c | 79.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked WHITEBIRD | 55c | 58.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…c09abacked los kogutos | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked WHITEBIRD | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed los kogutos | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…2748backed WHITEBIRD | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs WHITEBIRD - Map 2 WinnerWHITEBIRD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.