South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc114b699df5d1a484c08a1c945f8272ac30de1eac32c8fd52b48932fbb45b03d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Yes | 28c | 535.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 60c | 464.25$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.77 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 439.77$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.14 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 33c | 415.53$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.68 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 51c | 384.6$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.39 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 28c | 297.86$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 269.66$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 49c | 234.35$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 213.21$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 31c | 165$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 150.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 19c | 130.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 29c | 124.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 49c | 114$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 42c | 104$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 73c | 101.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…465abacked Yes | 70c | 99.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 20c | 60.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 67c | 59.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3924…ee05backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 72c | 47.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 33.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f670backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…4a78backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 16.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will CSyD Macará vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.