Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Maximo Zeitune vs Franco Roncadelli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc115d5100f58bf8c03dcc5e5ab167861e9b6ccc57b701610be8805673a7b9f87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roncadelliof Zeitune, Roncadelli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Zeitune | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Roncadelli | 69c | 1,609$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.69 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Roncadelli | 70c | 324.71$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Zeitune | 6c | 324.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Zeitune | 29c | 199.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Zeitune | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Zeitune | 30c | 152.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Zeitune | 58c | 142.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Roncadelli | 71c | 141.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Roncadelli | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Zeitune | 30c | 87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 976 | 44.6%435 W · 541 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Roncadelli | 48c | 84.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Roncadelli | 50c | 81.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Zeitune | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Roncadelli | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Roncadelli | 79c | 43.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Roncadelli | 70c | 42.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…fbb1backed Roncadelli | 70c | 33.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Roncadelli | 63c | 32.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Roncadelli | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Roncadelli | 63c | 22.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Zeitune | 53c | 22.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Roncadelli | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Roncadelli | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.