Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Providence Friars vs. Colorado Buffaloes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc12fb036d983415096c37bfb06e043ec261254d3d4fdac1b5e7b500726c9399c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Buffaloesof Providence Friars, Colorado Buffaloes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Providence Friars | 53c | 14,655$7,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,721.51 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 46c | 3,735$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.36 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Colorado Buffaloes | 51c | 2,909$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.46 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Colorado Buffaloes | 48c | 2,867$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.36 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Providence Friars | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Providence Friars | 47c | 1,886$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.4 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 1,785$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.79 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 56c | 1,698$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 1,591$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.83 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Buffaloes | 46c | 1,583$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.69 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 1,288$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.61 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed Providence Friars | 47c | 543.02$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Providence Friars | 21c | 446.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…ca1abacked Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 425$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Colorado Buffaloes | 47c | 381.29$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.08 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Providence Friars | 28c | 341.17$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Providence Friars | 39c | 320$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.91 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Colorado Buffaloes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed Colorado Buffaloes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Providence Friars | 24c | 260$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…8eaabacked Providence Friars | 12c | 208.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Colorado Buffaloes | 47c | 155.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 151$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 128$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Providence Friars | 12c | 124.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…30babacked Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Buffaloes | 48c | 74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5749…2244backed Colorado Buffaloes | 78c | 68.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dac…0436backed Providence Friars | 52c | 52.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…5335backed Providence Friars | 49c | 51.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x107d…b034backed Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 45.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…5b88backed Providence Friars | 53c | 44.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…3c1dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 40.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Colorado Buffaloes | 48c | 36.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…c9bfbacked Providence Friars | 53c | 35.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e34…344ebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0f…ec43backed Colorado Buffaloes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640a…f359backed Providence Friars | 38c | 33.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07a…e2ddbacked Providence Friars | 48c | 31.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…6cf7backed Colorado Buffaloes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24af…27d4backed Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 25.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1a…8c64backed Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…6152backed Colorado Buffaloes | 51c | 23.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3706…1b99backed Providence Friars | 53c | 19.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…5882backed Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 18.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.