NHL · resolved market
AHL: Rockford IceHogs vs. Milwaukee Admirals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc13185ac15c40c4955cef19f885c62c1f225291777ef271e14c3ae8dbb6755b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Admiralsof Rockford IceHogs, Milwaukee Admirals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11c5…fcacbacked Rockford IceHogs | 36c | 1,445$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…b1b6backed Rockford IceHogs | 36c | 1,437$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…e76abacked Milwaukee Admirals | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3f…3f83backed Rockford IceHogs | 37c | 986$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9a…4215backed Rockford IceHogs | 37c | 958$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…e4e2backed Milwaukee Admirals | 64c | 736$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7336…5f80backed Milwaukee Admirals | 64c | 709$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…2ca3backed Milwaukee Admirals | 63c | 651$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…7d09backed Rockford IceHogs | 36c | 636$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…b33cbacked Rockford IceHogs | 37c | 619$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…12e5backed Rockford IceHogs | 36c | 617$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…b96bbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 63c | 589$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…e1babacked Milwaukee Admirals | 64c | 465$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54da…fa4cbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 64c | 458$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…4921backed Milwaukee Admirals | 64c | 437$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d4…7e8ebacked Milwaukee Admirals | 63c | 369$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…5de3backed Milwaukee Admirals | 63c | 335$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…3de2backed Milwaukee Admirals | 63c | 330$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…cc38backed Milwaukee Admirals | 63c | 289$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +124%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…0726backed Milwaukee Admirals | 64c | 178$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…7e2bbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 64c | 152$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Milwaukee Admirals | 63c | 89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Rockford IceHogs | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Rockford IceHogs | 37c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Milwaukee Admirals | 41c | 63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Rockford IceHogs | 36c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Milwaukee Admirals | 62c | 47.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Rockford IceHogs | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Milwaukee Admirals | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.