Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc15a0464cfd3fc4e169c2ceea51ac32db5a784fc99c55c2416b094f51001c804
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d67…6b86backed Under | 61c | 3,999$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Over | 39c | 2,800$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.65 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…e05ebacked Over | 45c | 769.57$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 39c | 594.72$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.94 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Over | 39c | 456.1$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 259.07$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 58c | 166.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 58c | 158.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 58c | 77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Over | 39c | 47.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…4eb1backed Under | 57c | 22.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.