Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNCG Spartans vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc166cca0840438e983197c821fb43ab99e50c0dc7e9e04baa589b74f0f7051c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 53c | 30,699$16,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,352.22 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 18,309$8,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,637.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…05cbbacked Under | 48c | 5,095$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 47c | 1,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 49c | 1,480$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 1,034$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.18 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 225$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 103.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 101.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 53c | 93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 54c | 87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 52c | 35.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Over | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNCG Spartans vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 153.5this page
- Spread: Wofford Terriers (-4.5)Wofford Terriers won
- Spread: Wofford Terriers (-5.5)Wofford Terriers won
- Spread: Wofford Terriers (-6.5)Wofford Terriers won
- UNCG Spartans vs. Wofford TerriersWofford Terriers won
- UNCG Spartans vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 151.5Over won
- UNCG Spartans vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.