Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wofford Terriers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66a7e8adc6f19242ab7436ac4093ddf6b043f83711a838cefdb3eef8378dd222
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wofford Terriersof Wofford Terriers, UNCG Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Wofford Terriers | 52c | 7,028$3,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340.56 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNCG Spartans | 47c | 4,413$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UNCG Spartans | 48c | 1,825$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed UNCG Spartans | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed UNCG Spartans | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed UNCG Spartans | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed UNCG Spartans | 49c | 148$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed UNCG Spartans | 53c | 97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed UNCG Spartans | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Wofford Terriers | 47c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed UNCG Spartans | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Wofford Terriers | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Wofford Terriers | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked UNCG Spartans | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…7fecbacked UNCG Spartans | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Wofford Terriers | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Wofford Terriers | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed UNCG Spartans | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Wofford Terriers | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Wofford Terriers | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Wofford Terriers | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Wofford Terriers | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wofford Terriers (-6.5)this page
- Spread: Wofford Terriers (-4.5)Wofford Terriers won
- Spread: Wofford Terriers (-5.5)Wofford Terriers won
- UNCG Spartans vs. Wofford TerriersWofford Terriers won
- UNCG Spartans vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 151.5Over won
- UNCG Spartans vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 152.5Over won
- UNCG Spartans vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 153.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.