Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc16f7b050b29d25beda1865cf8409147f6fe0fbf30f1ad240e55cc7e1e79c437
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Southernof Texas Southern, Alcorn State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Texas Southern | 49c | 144$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…bb19backed Alcorn State | 53c | 118$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc739…e4f9backed Alcorn State | 51c | 115$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…f4adbacked Alcorn State | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +172.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…6a03backed Alcorn State | 52c | 107$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Alcorn State | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…750ebacked Texas Southern | 48c | 94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…9d9dbacked Texas Southern | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6faa…284ebacked Texas Southern | 48c | 79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…3746backed Alcorn State | 51c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…3d7ebacked Texas Southern | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…7279backed Texas Southern | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f3…0ab3backed Texas Southern | 47c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ab…ba03backed Texas Southern | 49c | 57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Alcorn State | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c5…297dbacked Alcorn State | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Alcorn State | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…6107backed Alcorn State | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x577f…261abacked Texas Southern | 47c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…3ae9backed Alcorn State | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Alcorn State | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b8…6d32backed Texas Southern | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…20ffbacked Texas Southern | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d5…86c3backed Alcorn State | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7b…5231backed Texas Southern | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cf…629abacked Texas Southern | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4531…ef02backed Alcorn State | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2267…6179backed Alcorn State | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…60ebbacked Alcorn State | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcb…90c7backed Texas Southern | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…076fbacked Texas Southern | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…8c33backed Texas Southern | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…62cfbacked Texas Southern | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…88debacked Texas Southern | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336e…5cc8backed Alcorn State | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef1…be82backed Alcorn State | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf724…d77fbacked Texas Southern | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edd…f3f6backed Alcorn State | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…c085backed Texas Southern | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0334…1b52backed Texas Southern | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb0…bb49backed Texas Southern | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…97acbacked Alcorn State | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…0c26backed Texas Southern | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…faedbacked Alcorn State | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd018…47b3backed Texas Southern | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…88c6backed Texas Southern | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e1…6132backed Texas Southern | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…a316backed Texas Southern | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…af39backed Alcorn State | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…7610backed Alcorn State | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…68dfbacked Alcorn State | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…8068backed Alcorn State | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd460…ce5cbacked Alcorn State | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…8fb9backed Texas Southern | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…b8febacked Alcorn State | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…09a7backed Alcorn State | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5b…d63ebacked Alcorn State | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6363…277ebacked Alcorn State | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1454…5e4cbacked Texas Southern | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d58…d16bbacked Alcorn State | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…b83cbacked Alcorn State | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…3722backed Texas Southern | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288b…1ab2backed Texas Southern | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…b4e4backed Alcorn State | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…de48backed Texas Southern | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb554…a594backed Texas Southern | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…3822backed Alcorn State | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.