La Liga · resolved market
FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc183841250ef491f771f48af36c3be152edfd9c3725dbbef6aa251a78f807f74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 4,465$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.61 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 24c | 2,418$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 44c | 1,500$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.99 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 28c | 1,060$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…2f6abacked Over | 55c | 1,027$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Over | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 986.16$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.16 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 58c | 951.89$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 23c | 904.35$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 39c | 410.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 328.37$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.46 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 58c | 246.41$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 39c | 178.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 77c | 158.8$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Under | 48c | 138$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Under | 79c | 103$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 48c | 101$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f6…d474backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 93.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 25c | 80.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 29c | 61.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 21c | 57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…da0dbacked Under | 46c | 56.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 53c | 53.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 80c | 34.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…d6d5backed Under | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 55c | 29.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 51c | 26.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 79c | 17.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-2.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)Albacete Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.