La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Albacete Balompié (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebf5bcc93dc45806d935bb9c301912f3b7b163539fdee58802c41d29ceff6e86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Andorraof Albacete Balompié, FC Andorra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x594e…1c11backed FC Andorra | 25c | 516.17$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…6905backed Albacete Balompié | 20c | 227.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf1…6784backed Albacete Balompié | 78c | 45.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eae…8d99backed FC Andorra | 23c | 43.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +330.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…2156backed Albacete Balompié | 73c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed FC Andorra | 31c | 34.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8283…828abacked Albacete Balompié | 79c | 33.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…5b28backed Albacete Balompié | 63c | 26.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Albacete Balompié | 62c | 23.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edd…93babacked Albacete Balompié | 62c | 19.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-2.5)this page
- FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)Albacete Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.