Lol · resolved market
LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs French Flair - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1c2c650223cfda1f71330f65690475e0814d06f457d7aedb28fea97686aed0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- French Flairof Orzeł Barcząca Esports, French Flair
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,588 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 62c | 1,659$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.47 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed French Flair | 53c | 1,356$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 15c | 1,304$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 13c | 888.59$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked French Flair | 78c | 888.13$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.6 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 28c | 788$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.78 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked French Flair | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed French Flair | 58c | 600$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.67 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 19c | 523.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked French Flair | 70c | 516.21$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.83 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed French Flair | 75c | 500$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 42c | 364.4$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 12c | 312.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed French Flair | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 226 | 17.7%40 W · 186 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…5085backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 56.8%134 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 15c | 244.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c5…6394backed French Flair | 65c | 215.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed French Flair | 72c | 206.67$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 32c | 205.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed French Flair | 59c | 169.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 19c | 155.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 30c | 151.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 21c | 143.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 34c | 139.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…67b1backed French Flair | 68c | 134.54$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 63c | 95.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 25c | 73.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked French Flair | 77c | 40.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…8ea6backed French Flair | 65c | 23.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab4…dd86backed French Flair | 78c | 21.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…f9f1backed French Flair | 69c | 21.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs French Flair - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FF (-1.5) vs Orzeł Barcząca Esports (+1.5)French Flair won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs French Flair (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group EFrench Flair won
- LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs French Flair - Game 1 WinnerFrench Flair won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.