Lol · resolved market
LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs French Flair (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group E
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc41eebe6629f08eb7d5be1d0384a6e276d7f4283dc481003e86a9b67a6e98f02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- French Flairof Orzeł Barcząca Esports, French Flair
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,110 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 11c | 22,662$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.82 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 27cpaid | +105%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 10c | 3,091$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.7 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 10c | 1,783$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.18 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 9c | 1,685$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.88 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 5c | 971.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 3c | 919.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 9c | 782.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 10c | 756$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 9c | 696.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 3c | 649.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 8c | 372.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 9c | 310.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 10c | 287$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 10c | 266.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 10c | 232.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 11c | 172.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 9c | 155.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…3337backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 11c | 147$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…c472backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 10c | 107$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…27ffbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 10c | 105.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed French Flair | 78c | 105.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…de1dbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 10c | 100.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…cc74backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs French Flair (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Ethis page
- Game Handicap: FF (-1.5) vs Orzeł Barcząca Esports (+1.5)French Flair won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs French Flair - Game 1 WinnerFrench Flair won
- LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs French Flair - Game 2 WinnerFrench Flair won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.