Tennis · resolved market
Mauthausen: Miguel Damas vs Jaime Faria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2323e33019e7487492243b3b151c3b7368dab03d6b5ac9d1635d9ee5c6fac4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaime Fariaof Miguel Damas, Jaime Faria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miguel Damas | 4c | 14,362$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.38 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miguel Damas | 5c | 11,783$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.53 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Jaime Faria | 75c | 3,220$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.86 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miguel Damas | 17c | 2,744$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.96 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…edc2backed Miguel Damas | 5c | 2,297$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Jaime Faria | 73c | 2,200$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Miguel Damas | 27c | 1,300$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…8ba9backed Miguel Damas | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Miguel Damas | 16c | 918.01$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.34 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Miguel Damas | 2c | 908.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Miguel Damas | 2c | 528.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d12…4070backed Miguel Damas | 29c | 514$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Miguel Damas | 29c | 507$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.76 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Miguel Damas | 33c | 488.25$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Miguel Damas | 26c | 481$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Miguel Damas | 28c | 376.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Jaime Faria | 71c | 347.42$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Jaime Faria | 71c | 342.42$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…e18ebacked Miguel Damas | 6c | 324.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Jaime Faria | 72c | 277.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miguel Damas | 12c | 263.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Miguel Damas | 5c | 236.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Miguel Damas | 15c | 227.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Miguel Damas | 26c | 208.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Miguel Damas | 7c | 205.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Jaime Faria | 73c | 201.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Miguel Damas | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Miguel Damas | 34c | 164.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Miguel Damas | 14c | 145.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Jaime Faria | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Miguel Damas | 12c | 128.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Miguel Damas | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Jaime Faria | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Miguel Damas | 27c | 110.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Miguel Damas | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…c1a0backed Jaime Faria | 73c | 87.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 77 | 68.8%53 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Miguel Damas | 30c | 85.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jaime Faria | 71c | 73.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…f6bdbacked Jaime Faria | 74c | 70.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Jaime Faria | 74c | 61.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Miguel Damas | 28c | 56.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Miguel Damas | 33c | 52.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Jaime Faria | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Jaime Faria | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Miguel Damas | 24c | 48.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Miguel Damas | 28c | 35.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jaime Faria | 71c | 32.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Jaime Faria | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Jaime Faria | 73c | 27.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 306 | 72.9%223 W · 83 L | +27.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Jaime Faria | 72c | 26.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 370 | 58.6%217 W · 153 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Jaime Faria | 74c | 22.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d0…a663backed Jaime Faria | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Jaime Faria | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Jaime Faria | 74c | 15.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Jaime Faria | 72c | 15.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Jaime Faria | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mauthausen: Miguel Damas vs Jaime Fariathis page
- Damas vs. Faria: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Damas vs. Faria: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Damas vs. Faria: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Damas vs. Faria: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Miguel Damas vs. Jaime Faria: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Damas vs FariaFaria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.